تعیین عوامل موثر بر رفتار سازگاری کشاورزان در مقابله با تغییرات آب و هوایی: مورد مطالعه شهرستان باوی خوزستان

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

دانشگاه کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی رامین خوزستان

چکیده

تغییرات آب و هوایی، کشاورزی و  در نتیجه تامین مواد­غذایی را تحت تاثیر قرار می­دهد. بنابراین، استراتژی­های سازگاری به­منظور به حداقل رساندن اثرات تغییرات آب و هوایی ضروری است. از آنجایی که کشاورزان نسبت به تغییرات آب و هوایی بسیار آسیب­پذیر هستند، وظیفه سازگاری با تغییرات آب وهوایی را برعهده دارند. لذا، شناسایی عوامل تاثیرگذار بر رفتار سازگاری آنان بسیار مهم است. هدف کلی این پژوهش، تعیین عوامل موثر بر رفتار سازگاری کشاورزان در مقابله با تغییرات آب و هوایی و گرم شدن زمین می­باشد. نمونه پژوهش بر اساس نمونه­گیری تصادفی ساده از میان کشاورزان شهرستان باوی انتخاب شد (350n= ). نتایج نشان داد، متغیرهای فاصله روانی با تغییرات آب و هوایی، اعتماد اجتماعی، برجستگی خطر، درک خطر، دانش درباره علل، اثرات و سازگاری، مسئولیت­پذیری و اثربخشی به­طور مستقیم بر رفتار سازگاری کشاورزان در مقابله با تغییرات آب و هوایی تأثیر دارند. متغیرهای برجستگی خطر، دانش سازگاری، فاصله روانی، اثربخشی و دانش اثرات تغییرات آب و هوایی 48/0 درصد از تغییرات رفتار سازگاری کشاورزان با تغییرات آب و هوایی را تبیین می کنند. درک نقش عوامل مختلف تاثیرگذار بر سازگاری کشاورزان برای اطمینان از توسعه اقدامات سیاسی مناسب و طراحی پروژه­های توسعه­ای موفق مهم است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Determining the Factors Influencing on Farmers’ Adaptation Behaviors in Dealing with Climate Change and Global Warming: A Case Study in Bavi Township, Khuzestan

نویسنده [English]

  • tahereh zobeidi
چکیده [English]

Climate change would affect agriculture and food supply. Therefore, adaptation strategies are necessary to minimize the impacts of climate change. Since farmers are the most vulnerable group toward climate change, they have the task of adapting to climate change. Therefore, identifying the effective factors on adaptation behaviors of farmers is of great importance. The aim of this study is to determinate the psychological factors influencing on farmers’ adaptation behaviors. A sample of 350 farmers was selected by simple random sampling method Bavi Township in Khuzestan province. The results showed that the psychological distance toward climate change, social trust, risk salience, risk perception, knowledge about causes, impacts and adaptation directly affected the adaptation behaviors of farmers to dealing with climate change. Also, the variables of risk salience, knowledge about adaptation, psychological distance, self-efficacy and knowledge about impacts of climate change could predict 48 percent of variations in farmers’ adaptation behaviors with climate change. Thus, it is important to understand the role of the different factors that influence farmers’ adaptation to ensure the development of appropriate policy measures and the design of successful development projects.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Risk perception. Risk salience
  • Psychological distance
  • adaptation
  • climate change

مراجع

  1. Aitken, C., Chapman, R., & McClure, J. (2011). Climate change, powerlessness and the commons dilemma: Assessing New Zealanders’ preparedness to act. Global Environmental Change, 21(2), 752-760.
  2. Arbuckle Jr, J. G., Morton, L. W., & Hobbs, J. (2013). Farmer beliefs and concerns about climate change and attitudes toward adaptation and mitigation: Evidence from Iowa. Climatic Change, 118(3-4), 551-563.
  3. Arbuckle Jr, J. G., Prokopy, L. S., Haigh, T., Hobbs, J., Knoot, T., Knutson, C., ... & Widhalm, M. (2013). Climate change beliefs, concerns, and attitudes toward adaptation and mitigation among farmers in the Midwestern United States. Climatic change, 117(4), 943-950.
  4. Arbuckle Jr, J. G., Morton, L. W., & Hobbs, J. (2015). Understanding farmer perspectives on climate change adaptation and mitigation: The roles of trust in sources of climate information, climate change beliefs, and perceived risk. Environment and behavior, 47(2), 205-234.
  5. Asseng, S., Zhu, Y., Wang, E., & Zhang, W. (2015). Crop modeling for climate change impact and adaptation. In Crop Physiology (pp. 505-546). Academic Press San Diego.
  6. Bandura, A. 1986. Social Foundations of Thought and Action: A Social Cognitive Theory. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall.
  7. Bandura, A. 1997. Self-efficacy: The exercise of control. New York: Freeman.
  8. Brulle, R. J., Carmichael, J., & Jenkins, J. C. (2012). Shifting public opinion on climate change: an empirical assessment of factors influencing concern over climate change in the US, 2002–2010. Climatic change, 114(2), 169-188.
  9. Carlton, S. J., & Jacobson, S. K. (2013). Climate change and coastal environmental risk perceptions in Florida. Journal of environmental management, 130, 32-39.
  10. Deressa, T. T., Hassan, R. M., & Ringler, C. (2011). Perception of and adaptation to climate change by farmers in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. The Journal of Agricultural Science, 149(01), 23-31.
  11. Dietz, T., Dan, A., & Shwom, R. (2007). Support for Climate Change Policy: Social Psychological and Social Structural Influences. Rural Sociology, 72(2), 185-214.
  12. Easterling, W. E. (2007). From the Cover: Climate Change and Food Security Special Feature: Climate change and the adequacy of food and timber in the 21st century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 104(50), 19679.
  13. Gandure, S., Walker, S., & Botha, J. J. (2013). Farmers' perceptions of adaptation to climate change and water stress in a South African rural community. Environmental Development, 5, 39-53.
  14. Gebrehiwot, T., & van der Veen, A. (2013). Farm level adaptation to climate change: the case of farmer’s in the Ethiopian Highlands. Environmental management, 52(1), 29-44.
  15. Gifford, R., Kormos, C., & McIntyre, A. (2011). Behavioral dimensions of climate change: drivers, responses, barriers, and interventions. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2(6), 801-827.
  16. Hassan, R., & Nhemachena, C. (2008). Determinants of African farmers’ strategies for adapting to climate change: Multinomial choice analysis. African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2(1), 83-104.
  17. Hmielowski, J. D., Feldman, L., Myers, T. A., Leiserowitz, A., & Maibach, E. (2014). An attack on science? Media use, trust in scientists, and perceptions of global warming. Public Understanding of Science, 23(7), 866-883.
  18. Houghton, J., 2005. Global warming. Engineering Physics. 68 (2005) 1343–1403
  19. Howell, R. A. (2011). Lights, camera… action? Altered attitudes and behaviour in response to the climate change. Global Environmental Change, 21(1), 177-187.
  20. Hyland, J. J., Jones, D. L., Parkhill, K. A., Barnes, A. P., & Williams, A. P. (2015). Farmers’ perceptions of climate change: identifying types. Agriculture and Human Values, 1-17.
  21. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). (2001). Climate change 2001: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Summary for policymakers. Geneva: IPCC.
  22. Jamshidi, A. Nuri Zamanabadi, S.H & Ebrahimi, M. H. (2015). Understanding farmers’ adaptation behavior in the face of climate change: the case study of chardavol township rural areas
    in Ilam province. Scientific & Research Quarterly Journal of Agricultural Planning, Economics & Rural Development Research Institute (APERDRI) Ministry of Jihad for Agriculture Vol. 18, No. 2, Summer 2015. 65-88. (In Farsi)
  23. Lal, R., Delgado, J.A., Groffman, P.M., Millar, N., Dell, C. & Rotz, A. (2011) Management to mitigate and adapt to climate change. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 66(4),276–285
  24. Leiserowitz, A. (2006). Climate change risk perception and policy preferences: The role of affect, imagery, and values. Climatic change, 77(1-2), 45-72.
  25. Leiserowitz, A. A. (2003). Global warming in the American mind: the roles of affect, imagery, and worldviews in risk perception, policy preferences and behavior (Doctoral dissertation, University of Oregon).
  26. Lorenzoni I, Leiserowitz A, DeFranca D, Poortinga W, Pidgeon NF (2006) Cross-national comparisons of image associations with “global warming” and “climate change” among laypeople in the United States of America and Great Britain. Journal of Risk Research, 9(3), 265–281.
  27. Lorenzoni, I., Nicholson-Cole, S., & Whitmarsh, L. (2007). Barriers perceived to engaging with climate change among the UK public and their policy implications. Global environmental change, 17(3), 445-459.
  28. Malka, A., Krosnick, J. A., & Langer, G. (2009). The association of knowledge with concern about global warming: Trusted information sources shape public thinking. Risk Analysis, 29(5), 633-647.
  29. Marquart-Pyatt, S. T., Shwom, R. L., Dietz, T., Dunlap, R. E., Kaplowitz, S. A., McCright, A. M., & Zahran, S. (2011). Understanding public opinion on climate change: A call for research. Environment: Science, Policy for Sustainable Development, 53(4), 38–42.
  30. Mazur, N., Curtis, A., & Rogers, M. 2013. Do You See What I See? Rural Landholders' Belief in Climate Change. Society & Natural Resources, 26(1), 75-85.
  31. National Climate Change Office 2010. Iran second national communication to UNFCC National climate change office at the department of environment on behalf of the government of the Islamic republic of Iran. Retrieved from: http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/iranc2.pdf (In Farsi)
  32. Nelson, D. R., Adger, W. N., & Brown, K. (2007). Adaptation to environmental change: contributions of a resilience framework. Annual review of Environment and Resources, 32(1), 395.
  33. Nicholson-Cole, S. A. (2005). Representing climate change futures: a critique on the use of images for visual communication. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 29(3), 255-273.
  34. Niemeyer, S., Petts, J., & Hobson, K. (2005). Rapid climate change and society: assessing responses and thresholds. Risk Analysis, 25(6), 1443-1456.
  35. O'Connor, R. E., Bord, R. J., & Fisher, A. (1999). Risk perceptions, general environmental beliefs, and willingness to address climate change. Risk Analysis, 19(3), 461-471.
  36. Ohe, M., & Ikeda, S. (2005). Global warming: risk perception and risk-mitigating behavior in Japan. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 10(2), 221-236.
  37. Siegrist, M., Cvetkovich, G., Roth, C., )2000(. Salient value similarity, social trust, and risk/benefit perception. Risk Analysis 20, 353-362.
  38. Smith, W. N., Grant, B. B., Desjardins, R. L., Kroebel, R., Li, C., Qian, B., ... & Drury, C. F. (2013). Assessing the effects of climate change on crop production and GHG emissions in Canada. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 179, 139-150.
  39. Spence, A., Poortinga, W., & Pidgeon, N. (2012). The psychological distance of climate change. Risk Analysis, 32(6), 957-972.
  40. Spence, A., Poortinga, W., Butler, C., & Pidgeon, N. F. (2011). Perceptions of climate change and willingness to save energy related to flood experience. Nature climate change, 1(1), 46-49.
  41. Sundblad, E. L., Biel, A., & Gärling, T. (2009). Knowledge and confidence in knowledge about climate change among experts, journalists, politicians, and laypersons. Environment and Behavior, 41(2), 281-302.
  42. Vignola, R., Klinsky, S., Tam, J., & McDaniels, T. (2013). Public perception, knowledge and policy support for mitigation and adaption to Climate Change in Costa Rica: Comparisons with North American and European studies. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 18(3), 303-323.
  43. Yazdanpanah, M, Forouzani, M., Zobeidi, T. (2016). Factors influencing farmer’s willingness to mitigate greenhouse gases in Bavi Township. Iranian Journal of Hazards Science, Vol. 2, No. 4, 411-422.
  44. Yazdanpanah, M., Feyzabad, F. R., Forouzani, M., Mohammadzadeh, S., & Burton, R. J. 2015. Predicting farmers’ water conservation goals and behavior in Iran: A test of social cognitive theory. Land Use Policy, 47, 401-407.
  45. Zahran, S., Brody, S. D., Grover, H., & Vedlitz, A. (2006). Climate change vulnerability and policy support. Society and Natural Resources, 19(9), 771-789.
  46. Zobeidi, T., Yazdanpanah, M., Forouzani, M., & Khosravipour, B. (2016a). Climate change discourse among Iranian farmers. Climatic Change, 138(3-4), 521-535.
  47. Zobeidi, T., Yazdanpanah, M., Forouzan, M., & Khosravipour, B. (2016b). Typology of Wheat and Vegetable Farmers Perception towards Climate Change through of Q-Methodology. Journal of Rural Research, 7(2), 374-391. http://dx.doi.org/10.21859/jjr-07028

 

تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران
دوره 48، شماره 1
خرداد 1396
صفحه 137-147

فایل ها

هم رسانی

ارجاع به این مقاله

آمار