برآورد ارزش اقتصادی تفرجگاه‌های طبیعی با استفاده از رویکرد هزینه سفر ( مورد مطالعه: بوستان فاتح)

صالح, ایرج; باستانی, مهدی; عابدی, سمانه

doi:10.22059/ijaedr.2015.54904

برآورد ارزش اقتصادی تفرجگاه‌های طبیعی با استفاده از رویکرد هزینه سفر ( مورد مطالعه: بوستان فاتح)

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

ایرج صالح ¹

مهدی باستانی ²

سمانه عابدی ³

¹ دانشیار اقتصاد کشاورزی دانشکدة اقتصاد و توسعة کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران

² دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد کشاورزی دانشکدة اقتصاد و توسعة کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران

³ استادیار اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی ساری

10.22059/ijaedr.2015.54904

چکیده

پارکهای شهری ارزشهای تفرجگاهی مهمی برای گذراندن اوقات فراغت مردم دارند. پارک فاتح در مرکز استان البرز قرار دارد و ارائهدهندة سطحی از خدمات کیفی برای مردم محسوب میشود، اما ارزیابی اقتصادی این خدمات با معیارهای عادی بسیار دشوار است و به‌طور عمده با لحاظ‌کردن برخی شاخصها، برآورد ارزش اقتصادی آنها انجام میگیرد. در مطالعة حاضر، به‌منظور دستیابی به هدف مذکور، با تکمیل سیصد پرسشنامة کلاوسون در زمان حداکثر گردشگری (تابستان 92) در قالب روش هزینة سفر (TCM)، ارزشگذاری، بررسی و تجزیه و تحلیل منطقة مورد مطالعه انجام گرفت. نتایج بیانگر آن است که ارزش تفرجگاهی باغ فاتح با تخمین تقاضای مکان تفریحی و محاسبة مازاد رفاه مصرفکننده، معادل 138750000 ریال به‌طور سالانه است که سیاستگذاران و تصمیمگیرندگان با توجه به این امر میتوانند به حمایت از پارکهای شهری توجه کنند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

ارزش‌ اقتصادی

پارک فاتح

تابع تقاضای مکان تفریحی

هزینة سفر فردی

20.1001.1.20084838.1394.46.2.19.0

عنوان مقاله English

Application of Monte Carlo simulation in evaluating agricultural production risk (Case study: Gorgan county)

نویسندگان English

Iraj Saleh ¹

Mehdi Bastani ²

Samaneh Abedi ³

¹ Associate Professor Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economics and Development, University of Tehran, Iran

² MSc. Student, Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agricultural Economics and Development, University of Tehran, Iran

³ Assistant Professor, Agricultural Economics, University of Sary, Iran

چکیده English

Agriculture sector has had a significant grow thing role in the Iran, but growth and development in this sector is not possible without a suitable risk management. This study has tried to predict and measure the risk from changing weather condition on agriculture products of Gorgan County using Mont Carlo Stimulation as one of the powerful tools on risk analysis. The results showed that the highest level of production risk is for the crop such as barley, soya and wheat and the least level of the risk is for the crops such as bean, clover and pea, respectively. To sum up, the research results indicated a significant effect of production risk in this area and therefore managers and policy makers need to notice it.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

agriculture productions

Monte Carlo simulation

Gorgan county

Risk Management

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