نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی به زبان انگلیسی
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
Income mobility is a key indicator of economic dynamism and plays an important role in assessing inequality and households’ opportunities for economic advancement. This study examines the patterns of intragenerational income mobility among urban and rural households in Iran during the period 2021–2023 using income decile transition matrices, the Shorrocks mobility index, and panel regression models. The results indicate that the highest degree of income movement occurs within the middle deciles, whereas the lowest and highest deciles exhibit relatively greater stability. In other words, low-income and high-income households are more likely to remain in their initial income positions than households in the middle of the income distribution. A comparison between urban and rural areas reveals a broadly similar mobility pattern, although differences exist in the magnitude of mobility and the factors determining it. Lower-income urban households experience less mobility than their rural counterparts, while rural households are more sensitive to demographic characteristics and economic conditions. The panel regression results confirm the significant roles of the household head’s age, household size, asset ownership, internet access, expenditure patterns, and macroeconomic variables in shaping income positions and decile mobility. Inflation, particularly in urban areas, emerges as one of the most important barriers to upward income mobility. These findings highlight the need for targeted regional policies aimed at controlling inflation, strengthening real household incomes, improving access to assets, and expanding information infrastructure to enhance opportunities for income mobility.
کلیدواژهها English
