Document Type : Research Paper
Authors
1
Agricultural Management and Development, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Tehran, Karaj, Tehran
2
Professor, Department of Agricultural Management and Development, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Tehran, Karaj, Tehran
3
Professor, Departmen of Agricultural Management of Development, Faculty of Agricultural Economics and Development, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran
10.22059/ijaedr.2023.361396.669230
Abstract
Purpose: The purpose of this article is to analyze the key drivers of sustainable agricultural development in the Zayandeh River watershed of Isfahan province with a future research approach. The current research was applied, descriptive-survey type. The statistical community were experts related to the development of agriculture in the province.
Research method: To collect data, library sources, questionnaires and interviews were used. Delphi method and interviews with elites and executives were used to identify the primary components and drivers effective on the sustainable development of agriculture in the Zayandeh River watershed of Isfahan province. And the snowball technique was used to select the experts. Finally, 40 key drivers were set with a matrix width of 40x40. Questionnaires were also distributed among 25 experts. By identifying the primary components through Micmac software, the matrix of cross-effects was formed using the opinion of the elites and by giving paired scores of the desired indicators according to their influence and effectiveness from 0 to 3.
Research findings and results: In this research, two key drivers were identified for the future of sustainable agricultural development, which included the development of agriculture in controlled environments such as greenhouses and the development of infrastructure to create agricultural transformation and supplementary industries.
Key words: foresight, key drivers, agricultural development, Zayandeh Rood watershed
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