Designing and Development of a Dynamic Water Security Model Based on Social-Ecological System Interactions (Neyshabur Plain watershed)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Post-Doc Researcher, Social Business Institute, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

2 professor, Department of Reclamation of Arid and Mountainous Regions. Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran

10.22059/ijaedr.2023.350655.669188

Abstract

In the present study, using System Dynamics (SD) and Agent-Based Modeling (ABM), which are two common methods for investigating complex systems, the dynamic model of water security for the Neyshabur Plain watershed using the agent-based software NetLogo with the aim of identifying and analyzing the impact of different water consumption sectors on the state of water security in the watershed was designed and presented. The results show the effectiveness and reliability of the water security model presented in the present study. Therefore, it can be used to predict the water security situation in the future years in the Neishabur Plain and while considering different scenarios in order to change the modifiable parameters of the model, and observing the impact of each of them on the water security situation in the basin, the best scenario and in line with that the best solution to improve water security in the Neyshabur Plain watershed can be determined.

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Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 03 April 2023

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