Determination of Actual and Potential Sub Sectors to Plan Agricultural Development of Khorasan Razavi Province

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Ph.D. Student of Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran

2 Associate Professor of Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.

3 Professor of Agricultural Economics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.

Abstract

   The key to the success of regional development policy and endogenous development is to emphasize the specific characteristics of the target region, using the potential of human resources, institutions and local physical resources. This study aims to determine the actual and potential sub-sectors for agricultural development planning in Khorasan Razavi province, and aims to provide a correct understanding of the capabilities and restrictions of the provincial cities in each agricultural sub-sectors. For this purpose, analytical models of the spatial coefficient in the spatial economy have been used to measure the actual and potential local advantages of the cities in order to plan the development of the agricultural sector of Khorasan Razavi Province and the data from 2012 to 2017 extracted from the statistical yearbooks of the agricultural jihad of Khorasan Razavi Province. Based on the results of the static spatial coefficient analysis in Khorasan Razavi province, livestock and fisheries sub-sectors are considered basic. Also, the three sub-sectors of horticulture, fisheries and livestock have high development potential in the province. Although there is no need to worry about the status of horticultural and fisheries sub-sectors in Khorasan Razavi province, the declining share of the livestock sub-sector in the added value of the agricultural sector of the province as well as the decrease in the number of advantageous cities, especially in the production of red meat, requires the special attention of policy makers towards this sub-sector. Conducting such studies can be effective in future planning for the continuous production of agricultural products both at the provincial and national levels. Improving investment security in this sub-sector at advantageous points in order to increase investment beyond compensating the depreciation of existing investments can be considered as one of the main solutions.

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