Investigating The Factors Affecting the Self-Sufficiency Coefficient of Iranian Wheat

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Ardakan University, Yazd, Iran.

2 Graduated M.Sc., Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Ardakan, Yazd, Iran.

3 Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Ardakan University, Yazd, Iran.

Abstract

The issue of food self-sufficiency is one of the most important and strategic issues in our country.
With the introduction of the model of resistance economy in recent years, this has become more important. Self-sufficiency in the production of agricultural products, especially wheat, is very important as the most basic product needed by society. The aim of this study was to investigate the factors affecting the self-sufficiency coefficient of Iranian wheat with respect to the resistance economy during the period 1989 -2017 in Iran, using the VAR. The results of estimating the self-explanatory model show that the value-added variables of agricultural sector (as an indicator of resilient economy), mechanization coefficient of agricultural sector, facility rate of agricultural bank and guaranteed price of wheat have a positive and significant effect on wheat self-sufficiency coefficient. There is a causal and positive relationship between the added value of the agricultural sector. Also, the change by the value-added variable has positive and decreasing effects on the self-sufficiency coefficient during a ten-year period, and at the end of the shock, the effect of this shock is adjusted with a slight decreasing effect in the corresponding region. Therefore, considering the positive relationship between self-sufficiency coefficient and value added as an indicator of resilient economy, it is suggested to increase the facilities and credits required to improve the wheat self-sufficiency coefficient.

Keywords


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