Investigating the Welfare and economic Effects of Taleghan Water Transfer Project in the form of a General Dynamic Equilibrium Model

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD student ،Department of Agricultural Economics,Faculty of Agriculture, University of Tabriz,Tabriz, Iran

2 Professor, Department Agricultural Economic,Faculty of Agriculture, University of Tabriz,Tabriz, Iran

3 Professor of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Economics and Agricultural Development, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran

4 Assistant Professor and Visiting Professor ,Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics , York University, ON, Canada

Abstract

Increasing demand for water resources and reducing resources has led to the implementation of various water management policies and procedures. Water transfer plans are one of these methods, which on the one hand is a response to the problem of imbalance with the distribution of the population and its related activities, and on the other hand, the spatial distribution of water. These plans, while is a solution to the water crisis, have effects. Therefore, this study investigates the long-term welfare and economic effects of Taleghan water transfer project to Tehran Province in 30 years in the form of a general dynamic equilibrium model. For this purpose, the input-output table of Tehran province was first designed and social accounting matrix was obtained. and then the dynamic general equilibrium model was used to investigate water transfer in the long-run. The results of this study show the negative effects of household welfare,and the effect of these projects on gross output, value added, investment demand, household demand in agriculture, industry and services is not significant, and also in This trend continues for 30 years. Hence, the results of such studies and studies of other effects can be a guide for planners and policymakers for future plans.

Keywords

References

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Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research
Volume 52, Issue 1
February 2021
Pages 11-31

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