Analyzing the Effects of Increasing in Price of Energy Carriers on Inflation of Agriculture Sector

Document Type : Research Paper

Author

Abstract

In regard to both implementation of the second phase of targeted subsidizes and the effect of inflation resulted from first phase of it on economic of country, inflation content estimation on economic of country especially agriculture sector is necessary. In this research, the effects of increasing price of energy carriers on inflation in various reproduction sectors such as agriculture was investigated, based on input–output technique and price models. The results of adjustment price of energy carriers’ price up to Persian Gulf FOB level have been shown that total inflation will increase to 65.47 percent. In agriculture sector maximum inflation will be 62.89 percent in fishing sub sector and then forest (30.38), livestock (30.28) and agronomy (7.76) sub sectors were located in respectively. Finally, regarding to the key role of agriculture sector for food production, it is suggested that in the case of implementation of the second phase of targeted subsidies, government must support this sector by proper mechanism.

Keywords

References

  1. Ahmadi, Z. (2011). Analysis and investigation the effects of targeted subsidies of energy carriers in inflation, production and employment in agricultural sector of Iran. MSc thesis, shahid bahonar university, Kerman, Iran. (In Farsi).
  2. Askari, J. & Bakhtiyar M. (2009) Consequences of energy carriers  price increases on the table energy input-output. Third International Conference on Input – Output, Iran. (In Farsi).
  3. Berument, H. & Talpcy, H. (2000). Inflationary Effect of Crude Oil Prices in Turkey Department of Economics, Bilkent University , Turkey, 316, 568-580.
  4. Eslami Andargoli, M. Sadeghi, H. & Mohammadi Khabbazan,  M. (2013).  Analyzes of the effects of increasing in price of energy carriers on inflation of agriculture sector.  Quarterly Journal of the Economic Research, 13(2), 85-106(In Farsi).
  5. Jafari Samimi, A., Esnaashari, A. & Mehnatfar, Y. (2005). investigate the economic impacts of gasoline subsidy on economic growth of Iran: An empirical analysis. Bulletin of Economic, 5(4), 11-44. (In Farsi).
  6. Karimi, S., Jafari Samimi, A. & Mehnatfar, Y. (2007) Economic Assessment of Gasoline Subsidy and Its Impact on Inflation in Iran: An Empirical Study (1971- 2004). Quarterly Journal of the Economic Research, 7(1), 43-60. (In Farsi).
  7. Lin, B. & Jiang, Z. (2011).  Estimates of Energy Subsidies in China and Impact of Energy Subsidy Reform.  Energy Economics, 33(2),  173-183.
  8. Ministry of Energy.(2006). Energy balance. (In Farsi).
  9. Ministry of Energy.(2006). Input-output table. (In Farsi). 

10. Mohseni Zenozi, J. (2001) Analysis and Consequences of energy carriers  price increases on general level of prices in Iran  by using input-output method. M.Sc.thesis, university of Emam Sadegh, Iran. (In Farsi).

11. Soheili, K. (2007).The impact of technological improvements in agricultural production on a long-term energy demand in this sector, using economic and technical models MEDEE-S. Eqtesad- E Keshavarzi va Towse’e, 15(60),45-53(In Farsi).

  1. World bank (2003), Iran Medium Term Framework for Transition, Social and Economic Development Group East and North Africa Region, Report No.25848.

Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research
Volume 47, Issue 2
December 2016
Pages 285-291

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics