World Trade and wheat self-sufficiency in the world

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Azad university, central barnch

2 Azad university, central branch

3 ُAzad university, central branch

Abstract

The agricultural sector is one of the significant sectors of economy; therefore self-sufficiency in this sector is essential. This paper aims at the discussion on impacts of establishing WTO in 1995 on wheat production self-sufficiency of five continents. Since the quantitative analysis of the optimal level of agricultural factors is the main tool to achieve self-sufficiency, comparative study of world wheat production factors before and after the establishment of the WTO is another purpose of this study. To capture the effects of inputs, two separate Cobb-Douglas wheat production functions, by using panel data-set over 1981-1995 and 1996-2010, were applied. The results of study indicate that over a 30-year period; from 1980 to 2010; the trend of wheat self-sufficiency in Africa, America and Asia were stable. However, the establishment of the WTO led to a slight increase on Europe and fluctuation decline on Oceania wheat self-sufficiency. Besides, it was found that consumption of seed WTO and fertilizer after WTO, had the greatest impact on wheat yield. The contribution of labor force had reduced and productivity of this input had increased after world trade.

Keywords


  1. Akbari, N., & Sharif, M. (2008). Agricultural economics,(4th ed.), Allame tabatabae university.(In Farsi)
  2. Amid, J. (2006). The dilemma of cheap food and self-sufficiency: The case of wheat in Iran, Elsevier, 32, 537-552.
  3. Amirteimouri, S., Chizari, A. (2007). Study of dynamic self-sufficiency in maize production in Iran: an approach to calculate the total productivity of factors of production, Journal of Farming and Gardening, 79, 169-177. (In Farsi)
  4. Ardestani, M., & Tousi, M. (2010). Assess the comparative advantage of selected crops in Iran, Agricultural economics and development, 69, 19-42. (In Farsi)
  5. Azamzade, M., Khalilian, S., & Mortazavi, A. (2012). Select function and estimate the importance of energy production in the agricultural sector, Agricultural Economics and Development, 76, 205-230.(In Farsi)
  6. Bishwajit, G., Sarker, S., Kpoghomou, M., Gao, H., Jun, L., & Ghosh, S. (2013). Self-sufficiency in rice and food security: a South Asian perspective, Agriculture and food security.
  7. Debertin, D.L. (1997). Agricultural production economics. In Mousanezhad, M. Najarzade, Institute of Economic Research, Tarbiat Modarres University.
  8. FAO. (2012). The wheat initiative- an international research initiative for wheat improvement, second global conference of Agricultural research for development, http:// WWW.fao.org
  9. Hoseinzad, J.,  & Eslami, H. (2005). Select a production function to estimate the economic value of agricultural water (case of study wheat production), Agricultural economics and development, 48, 53-74. (In Farsi)
  10. ITO, J., NI, J. (2012). Capital deepening, land use policy and self-sufficiency in China's grain sector, China Economic Review, 24, 97-107.
  11. Komeijani,A., Noori, K., Moghadasi, R., & Gilanpour, O. (2002). Analysis of the relationship between agricultural supply and trade policies, currency and estimate demand and supply functions and imports of selected agricultural products, Trade Journal, 24, 1-25. (In Farsi)
  12. Luan,Y., Cui, X., & Ferrat, M. (2013). Historical trends of food self-sufficiency in Africa, Springer; 405, 393-405.
  13. Mahmoudi, A. (2003). Evaluation of market challenges, wheat flour, wheat self-sufficiency project supports the country: the economic dimension, 37(10). (In Farsi)
  14. Mahdavi,A., & Moeinedini, S. (2011).  Food security and sustainable agriculture Bioethics Ethics in Science and Technology, 2(10). (In Farsi)
  15. Magduff, F. (2008). Global food crisis: causes and solutions. Political and Economic Information, 253&254, 234-258.
  16. Mirabolhasani, H. (2005). The assessment and analysis of how the pursuit of self-sufficiency in wheat in Iran after the Islamic Revolution, M.S. dissertation, Central branch, Azad University, Iran. (In Farsi)
  17. Mirfakhraie, F. (1997). Pricing policy of self-sufficiency in wheat, M.S. dissertation, Agriculture Facualty, Tarbiat Modaress University, Iran. (In Farsi)
  18. Mousanezhad, M. (1994). Self-sufficiency in basic agriculture products, Economic Research and Policy, 4. (In Farsi)
  19. Noori, N. (1999), Global Strategy on Food Security, Journal of Social, 2. (In Farsi)
  20. Parvizian, J., & Karimitabar ,A. (2004). A dynamical system model for the study of agricultural support policies, Economics Research, 54, 127-162. (In Farsi)
  21. Pirasteh, H. (1999). First performance evaluation of economic development programs using input-output tables, Economics Research, 54. (In Farsi)
  22. Pourrajab, S. (2002). Economic Effects of Iran's membership in the WTO, with emphasis on agriculture (specifically wheat and rice), M.S. dissertation, Central branch, Azad University, Iran. (In Farsi)
  23. Taheri, S. (2005). Factors affecting the production of wheat in Iran, Agricultural economics and development, 50(13),  81-97. (In Farsi)
  24. Tavakoli, A.  (2006).Wheat production function estimation and optimization of irrigation and nitrogen, Research and development in agriculture and horticulture,71, 25-33. (In Farsi)
  25. WTO, (2013). International Trade Statistics. http:// WWW.WTO.com.
  26. Worldbank. (2013). http:// WWW.World bank.org.
  27. You, L., Rosegrant, M., Wood, S., & Sun,D. (2008). Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in china, Elsevier, 149, 1009-1014.
  28. Zhou, L., &  Calum,G. (2014). Climate Change and china grain production, China economic review, Elsevier, 28, 72-89.