Economic Analysis of Cropping Date Adjustment Strategy for Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture

Articles in Press

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

Tarbiat Modares University Faculty of Agriculture

10.22059/ijaedr.2025.392275.669367

Abstract

Climate change, a paramount challenge of the present century, has exerted adverse effects on the agricultural sector, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of cropping date adjustment as an adaptation strategy to climate change. Future climate change patterns in the Hamaden-Bahar plain were analyzed. Subsequently, the impact of these changes on the yield of water-intensive crops within a cropping system was investigated using agricultural simulation models. Finally, the agricultural profitability of the plain, considering various climate change and cropping date scenarios, was assessed using an economic simulation model. The results demonstrated that adjusting cropping dates significantly improved the yield of selected crops. Specifically, shifting cropping dates in the future period led to the most substantial yield improvements in winter wheat, barley, and spring potato. The economic analysis indicated that cropping date adjustment can enhance agricultural profitability and offset some of the economic losses caused by climate change. These findings underscore the importance of cropping date adjustment as an effective adaptation measure to climate change in the agricultural sector, providing valuable guidance for policymakers and farmers to mitigate the negative impacts of climate change and enhance agricultural production sustainability.

Keywords

Main Subjects

Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 14 September 2025

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics