Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research

Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research

The effects of agricultural trade instability and volatility on growth of agricultural sector in Iran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors
Esmaeil Pishbahar 1
Jalal Rahimi 2
Ghader Dashti 1
Mohamad Ghahremanzad 1
1 Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Tabriz University, Iran
2 MSc. Student of Agricultural Management Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Lorestan University, Iran
10.22059/ijaedr.2015.54896
Abstract
Due to the significance of the non-oil exports extension in economical progress and development countries, in the current study the effect of instability of agriculture exports on the production of this sector for the period 1974-2007 and determining the sources of instability in export value of agricultural products from 1974-2011 by Coppack instability index was investigated. According to the findings, the effect of exports instability on the production of agriculture was negative; the effect of export variability, import, investment, and the real exchange rate was positive and significant; and the effect of labor was negative and significant. Also analyzing the sources of instability showed that the sub sectors as horticulture, cultivation, livestock and fishery had the most effect on the volatility of agriculture exports, respectively. In cultivation sub sector, crops like onion, tomato, spices, types of oilseeds, textiles, sugar, in horticulture sub sector, types of almond, citrus, date, hazelnut, pistachios, and in the livestock subsector, types of live animals, leather and wool have a higher rank of competitiveness in world market.
Keywords
agriculture sector
export stability
instability index
Iran
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Iranian Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research
Volume 46, Issue 2 - Serial Number 2
Summer 2015
Pages 299-310